Reflections, rationality and Rio

John Gottman researches marital relationships. After analysing a normal conversation between a husband and wife for an hour, Gottman can predict whether that couple will still be married in 15 years with 95% accuracy. If he analyses them for 15 minutes, his accuracy is around 90%. But if he analyses them for only three minutes,…

Strategy update – beyond the news headlines

It’s been a remarkable few weeks. An unexpected referendum result. The collapse of the Government. A ferocious start to the leadership campaign in the Conservative Party. A no-confidence vote in the Leader of the Opposition. Havoc in the Labour Party. And Wales in the semi-final of the European football championships. The script, when they come…